Full of "two children", and will lead to a surge in the population, environmental pollution aggravate, quarterly competitive? Experts say: not! It is not be super living of the guerrillas.
Population experts, deputy director of the bureau of statistics survey center of fujian province Yao Meixiong think, open up "two children" will not result in a surge in the birth rate and population sharp rebound. , he argues, along with the advancement of industrialization, urbanization and modernization process, people's living environment, life style and attitudes are significant changes have taken place, life, employment, education, health care costs have greatly ascend, leads people to fertility intentions is reduced greatly.
Demographers, ctrip founder James liang believes that due to accumulation effect, in full liberalisation of the first couple of years after the birth, births will rebound, but limited. According to the most liberal estimates, open up the births of the highest mountain in the rebound after birth are far below the level in the early 1990 s.
全面放开“二胎”，会不会造成人口激增，环境污染加剧，竞争季度激烈?专家说啦：不会!超生游击队的情况是不会出现的。
人口专家、福建省统计局普查中心副主任姚美雄认为，全面放开“二胎”不会造成出生率的猛增和人口数量的剧烈反弹。他认为，随着工业化、城镇化及现代化进程的推进,人们的生活环境、生活方式及生育观念均发生了重大变化,生活、就业、教育、医疗的成本有了极大的提升,导致人们生育意愿大大降低。
人口学家、携程网创始人梁建章认为，由于堆积效应，在全面放开生育后的头几年，出生人数会反弹，但幅度有限。根据最宽松的估计，全面放开生育后的反弹最高峰的出生人数也远远低于上世纪90年代初期水平。
本文来源：https://www.010zaixian.com/zuowen/xiaoshengchuyingyuzuowen/200802.htm